Makro

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, holds steady around mid-98.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday, consolidating its gains registered over the past two days.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) managing director Kristalina Georgieva warned that inflation is already picking up and the global economy could face a “much worse outcome” if the war in the Middle East drags into 2027 and oil prices hit about $125 a barrel, Reuters reported on Tuesday.

AUD/USD extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 0.7160 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Traders expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to deliver an interest rate hike later in the day.

The NZD/USD pair remains under some selling pressure for the third consecutive day and trades around the 0.5865-0.5860 area during the Asian session on Tuesday.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is having a monetary policy meeting this week and will deliver its decision on Tuesday. Market participants expect the Board to deliver a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hike, the third consecutive one.

Gold price tumbles more than 2% on Monday as tensions in the Middle East pushes the Greenback higher, while US Treasury yields soar sharply as investors discount no interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Joachim Nagel, member of the European Central Bank (ECB) and President of the Bundesbank, spoke in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, on Monday. He said that the longer the Middle East conflict lasts, the greater the risk of high inflation will reimain without ECB intervention.

John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York, said in a prepared speech at the Cynosure Group Spring Symposium in New York, United States (US) on Monday, that there is no way to know yet how the Iran war impact will play out for the United States economy.

ING’s Chief Economist for Turkey, Muhammet Mercan, notes that April inflation rose more than expected, with annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaching 32.4%, well above the Central Bank of Turkey’s 16% target.

The AUD/USD pair is trading with a cautious tone, hovering near the 0.7190 price zone as investors position ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decision due later on Monday.

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to stay on hold until September as it assesses the Iran conflict’s impact and monitors inflation.