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The European oil majors with the biggest trading desks raised their trading profits by up to $4.75 billion in the first quarter from the end of last year, amid extreme market volatility driven by the war in Iran. The biggest European majors, BP, Shell, and TotalEnergies, likely earned between $3.3 b

MUFG analysts argue that the Swedish Krona is underperforming as the Riksbank, central bank of Sweden, stays cautious despite the energy shock.

OCBC’s FX Christopher Wong describes USD/JPY as a two-way trade after suspected Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervention capped gains near 160. He notes bearish daily momentum but says fundamentals are not decisively Japanese Yen (JPY)-positive, with higher Oil prices still a drag.

ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar has started the week slightly stronger as hopes for a Middle East ceasefire fade and Oil prices jump. He highlights US April Consumer Price Index (CPI) as the key release, with expectations for higher headline and core inflation.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is a mild outperformer versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by firmer Oil, even as USD/CAD trades about one standard deviation above their fair value estimate.

When lawmakers propose solutions to complex economic problems, the first requirement should be a clear understanding of how those problems actually work. A recent Facebook post by Bernie Sanders comparing today’s oil and gasoline prices to those in 2011 suggests that oil companies are “ripping off”

TD Securities economists expect US inflation data to firm in April, with core Consumer Price Index (CPI) boosted by shelter and airfare components and headline CPI lifted by higher Oil and food prices.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses the Japanese Yen (JPY), noting that expected endorsement from the United States (US) Treasury for recent Ministry of Finance (MoF) FX intervention should support the currency in the near term.

USD/CAD trades on a flat note around 1.3670 on Monday, down modestly by 0.05% on the day at the time of writing.

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