Makro Haberleri

EUR/JPY trades around 183.50 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.61% on the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) benefits from stronger demand amid fears of intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market.

TD Securities analysts argue the US Dollar (USD) faces asymmetric downside risk around the April US payrolls release.

BNY highlights a broad Eurozone PMI downturn, with the composite back in contraction and services particularly weak, while producer prices and input costs re‑accelerate. The bank notes markets assume ECB policy cannot diverge much from peers, a view it challenges.

USD/CHF declines around 0.7790 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.50% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure in a more risk-positive market environment.

The US Dollar (USD) depreciates against its main peers on Wednesday amid hopes that the US and Iran are close to a deal to end the war. The USD Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar against a basket of currencies, drops more than 0.7% on the day, approaching pre-war levels at 97.50.

The Euro (EUR) rallies more than 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, trading at 1.1760 at the time of writing, after hitting session highs at 1.1770.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is declining after three days of gains and trading around 98.00 during the European hours on Wednesday.

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the USD Index (DXY) is at an inflection point, consolidating in a 98–99 range after retracing its post-Operation Epic Fury rally.

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke expects Norges Bank to keep rates at 4.0% but maintain a distinctly hawkish tone compared with the Riksbank. With Norwegian inflation above target, the bank projects one or two hikes by year-end and may act in June if Iran-related risks persist.

UOB analysts report that the US Dollar index DXY posted another small gain as markets digested a four-week ceasefire in the Middle East and reduced fears of a renewed US-Iran conflict.